This blog site offers a quick overview of statistics issues with illustrations to help the audience understand and appreciate the value, importance, and applications of statistics in everyday life. In today's society, it is common knowledge that in order to understand about something, you must first gather data. The skill of learning from data is known as statistics. It is involved with the gathering of information, its subsequent description, and analysis, which frequently leads to conclusions.
We can use some postulates or axioms to define this probability. Axioms or postulates are forms of basic assumptions that we make to characterize anything that are logically coherent and non-overlapping. Typically, such postulates are derived by considering feasible features that we would like to see in the defined thing. There is no way to prove or disprove these fundamental assumptions. The probability or chance of occurrence of the event A will be defined by the following three postulates.
(i) 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1 or the probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1, both
inclusive;
(ii) P(S) = 1 or the probability of the sure event is 1;
(iii) P(A1 ∪ A2 ∪ ⋯) = P(A1) + P(A2) + ⋯ whenever A1,A2,... are mutually exclusive [The events may be finite or countably infinite in number]
The characteristic 0≤P(A)≤1 corresponds to the requirement that a relative frequency be between 0 and 1. The fact that an outcome from the sample space happens on every trial of an experiment results in the property P(S) = 1.
On this topic, your comments/suggestions are highly appreciated.
In a random experiment, randomness is linked with the possible outcomes, not with the experiment's conduct. Any activity or procedure whose outcome is uncertain is considered an experiment. Although the term "experiment" usually conjures up images of planned or meticulously controlled laboratory testing, we use it here in a far broader sense. A random experiment is one in which the probable outcomes of interest, or the items you're seeking for, are not predictable or predefined in any way. Tossing a coin once or several times, selecting a card or cards from a deck, weighing a loaf of bread, determining the commuting time from home to work on a particular morning, obtaining blood types from a group of people, or measuring the compressive strengths of different steel beams are all examples of experiments that might be of interest.
The Sample space is the collection of all possible outcomes indicated by the letter S. Let A be a part of the collection of outcomes in S; that is, A is a subset of S denoted by A⊂S. Given an outcome space S, let A be a part of the collection of outcomes in S. Then A is referred to as an event. When a random experiment is done and the result is in A, we say event A has occurred.
Examining a single weld to discover if it is faulty is one of these experiments. S= {N, D} denotes the sample space for this experiment, where N denotes not defective, D denotes defective, and braces are used to enclose the members of a set. Another experiment might be tossing a thumbtack and recording whether it landed point up or point down, with sample space S = {U, D}, and monitoring the gender of the next kid born at the local hospital, with S = {M, F}.
Some C++ programs produced at a corporation compile on the first attempt, but others do not (a compiler is a program that converts source code, in this case C++ programs, into machine language so that programs can be executed). Assume that an experiment consists of selecting and compiling C++ programs one by one at this address until you find one that compiles on the first try. S (for success) denotes a program that compiles on the first run, while F (for failure) denotes one that does not (for failure). Although it's unlikely, one possible conclusion of this experiment is that the first five (or ten, or twenty, or...) are Fs, and the following one is a S.
Any subset A of the sample space S of a random experiment is referred to as an event or a random event. We're talking about a random event described in a sample space or a subset of a sample space when we talk about an event in the future. An event is a collection (subset) of outcomes contained within the sample space S. It is simple if an event has exactly one outcome; it is compound if it has multiple outcomes. When an experiment is carried out, a specific event A is said to have occurred if the experimental result is contained in A. In general, only one simple event will happen at a time, while multiple compound events will happen at the same time.
When a sample space has n individual components, for as when a coin is thrown twice and there are 4 elements or 4 points in the sample space S, the elementary events are the singleton elements in S.
There are an endless number of simple events in the sample space for the program compilation experiment because there are an infinite number of outcomes. Compound events include
A = {S, FS, FFS} = the event that at most three programs are examined.
E = {FS, FFFS, FFFFFS,…} = the event that an even number of programs are examined.
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Probability as a branch of mathematics has a long history, dating back over 300 years, when it was first applied to situations concerning games of chance. Many books are dedicated solely to probability, but our goal is to focus on the aspects of the subject that have the greatest immediate influence on statistical inference difficulties.
The present mathematical theory of probability can be traced back to attempts by Gerolamo Cardano in the sixteenth century and Pierre de Fermat and Blaise Pascal in the seventeenth century to examine games of chance (for example the "problem of points"). Their motivation stemmed from an issue regarding games of chance provided by the chevalier de Méré, a notably philosophical gambler. When a game of chance is stopped, De Méré inquires about the right allocation of stakes. Let's say two players, X and Y, are playing a three-point game with 32 pistoles each, and they're interrupted when X has two points and Y has one.
Pascal thought Fermat's solution was too complicated, so he recommended solving the problem in terms of the quantity now known as "expectation," rather than probability.
Games of chance like this one served as model problems for the theory of chances in its early stages, and they are still used in textbooks today. Pascal's posthumous work on the "arithmetic triangle," which is now associated with his name (see binomial theorem), demonstrated how to calculate numbers of combinations and combine them to solve basic gambling difficulties.
Girolamo Cardano, an Italian mathematician, physician, and gambler, estimated chances for games of chance by counting up equally likely occurrences more than a century ago. However, his small work was not published until 1663, by which time the elements of the theory of chances were well known among European mathematicians.
Probability is the study of calculating the chances of something happening. At its most basic level, it is concerned with the roll of a dice or the fall of cards in a game. Probability, on the other hand, is critical to both science and everyday life. It's used for a variety of things, like weather forecasting and figuring out how much your insurance premiums would cost. Probability is the scientific study of randomness and uncertainty. The study of probability gives methods for calculating the chances, or likelihoods, of various outcomes in any situation where one of a number of possible outcomes could occur.
In both written and spoken contexts, the language of probability is frequently utilized in an informal manner. For example, “It is likely that the Dow Jones average will increase by the end of the year,” or “It is likely that the Dow Jones average will climb by the end of the year.” “The incumbent has a 50–50 likelihood of seeking reelection,” says the expert. “It's likely that at least one component of that course will be given next year,” says the professor. “The odds favor a rapid resolution of the strike,” and “at least 20,000 concert tickets are expected to be sold.”
This tutorial explains how to import data from Excel into the SPSS statistics package.For more details on the steps please click and watch the youtube video below.
Although there is a moderate amount of data analysis, especially in certain chapters, the emphasis in this book is on the statistical design of experiments.Such emphasis is justified by the widely held view that data from a well-designed experiment are easy to analyze.Certaintypesofdesignsarenotsimple, however,such as those covered in Chapters 7, 8, and 11, and the problem is compounded by the fact that some popular statistical software packages have quite limited capability for those designs.
In statistics, regression analysis consists of techniques for modeling the relationship between a dependent variable (also called response variable) and one or more independent variables (also known as explanatory variables or predictors). In regression, the dependent variable is modeled as a function of independent variables, corresponding regression parameters (coefficients), and a random error term which represents variation in the dependent variable unexplained by the function of the dependent variables and coefficients. In linear regression, the dependent variable is modeled as a linear function of a set of regression parameters and a random error. The parameters need to be estimated so that the model gives the “ best fit ” to the data.
Statistical inference and modeling are indispensable for analyzing data affected by chance, and thus essential for data scientists. In this course, you will learn these key concepts through a motivating case study on election forecasting. This course will show you how inference and modeling can be applied to develop the statistical approaches that make polls an effective tool and we'll show you how to do this using R. You will learn concepts necessary to define estimates and margins of errors and learn how you can use these to make predictions relatively well and also provide an estimate of the precision of your forecast. Once you learn this you will be able to understand two concepts that are ubiquitous in data science: confidence intervals, and p-values. Then, to understand statements about the probability of a candidate winning, you will learn about Bayesian modeling.
What you'll learn...
The concepts are necessary to define estimates and margins of errors of populations, parameters, estimates and standard errors in order to make predictions about data. How to use models to aggregate data from different sources. And the very basics of Bayesian statistics and predictive modeling.
Ed Neil O. Maratas an instructor of Jose Rizal Memorial State University, Dapitan Campus, Philippines as regular status. He earned his Bachelor of Science in Statistics at Mindanao State University-Tawi-Tawi College of Technology and Oceanography in the year 2003 and finished Master of Arts in Mathematics at Jose Rizal Memorial State University year 2009. He Became a researcher, a data analyst, and engaged to several projects linked to the university as data processor.
Prepared by:ednielmaratas@gmail.com or you can visit the facebook pageStatisticss For Funfor more details about statistics.
Learning Objectives
Given the learning materials and activities of this chapter, the students will be able to:
Perform Chi-square test for Goodness of Fit and test of independence to test the significance preference and significance of associations between categorical variables. Interpret the results..
A chi-square tests involve comparing the observed frequencies in a one-way or two-way frequency distribution table with the expected frequencies if the null hypothesis were true. These tests play an important role in many other problems where information is obtained by counting rather than measuring. The method we shall describe here applies to two kinds of problems. The first is the Chi-square goodness-of-fit test, and the second is the chi-square test for independence.
Source of the Image Credit: https://www.slideshare.net/Asadgroup/chi-square-test-presentation and for more details
Ed Neil O. Maratas an instructor of Jose Rizal Memorial State University, Dapitan Campus, Philippines as regular status. He earned his Bachelor of Science in Statistics at Mindanao State University-Tawi-Tawi College of Technology and Oceanography in the year 2003 and finished Master of Arts in Mathematics at Jose Rizal Memorial State University year 2009. He Became a researcher, a data analyst, and engaged to several projects linked to the university as data processor.
Prepared by:ednielmaratas@gmail.com or you can visit the facebook pageStatisticss For Funfor more details about statistics.
In this first part of a two part course, we’ll walk through the basics of statistical thinking – starting with an interesting question. Then, we’ll learn the correct statistical tool to help answer our question of interest – using R and hands-on Labs. Finally, we’ll learn how to interpret our findings and develop a meaningful conclusion.
This course will consist of:
Instructional videos for statistical concepts broken down into manageable topics
Guided questions to help your understanding of the topic
Weekly tutorial videos for using R Scaffolded learning with Pre-Labs (using R), followed by Labs where we will answer specific questions using real-world datasets
Weekly wrap-up questions challenging both topic and application knowledge
We will cover basic Descriptive Statistics – learning about visualizing and summarizing data, followed by a “Modeling” investigation where we’ll learn about linear, exponential, and logistic functions. We will learn how to interpret and use those functions with basic Pre-Calculus. These two “units” will set the learner up nicely for the second part of the course: Inferential Statistics with a multiple regression cap.
Both parts of the course are intended to cover the same material as a typical introductory undergraduate statistics course, with an added twist of modeling. This course is also intentionally devised to be sequential, with each new piece building on the previous topics. Once completed, students should feel comfortable using basic statistical techniques to answer their own questions about their own data, using a widely available statistical software package (R).
With these new skills, learners will leave the course with the ability to use basic statistical techniques to answer their own questions about their own data, using a widely available statistical software package (R). Learners from all walks of life can use this course to better understand their data, to make valuable informed decisions.
Ed Neil O. Maratas is an instructor of Jose Rizal Memorial State University, Dapitan Campus, Philippines as regular status. He earned his Bachelor of Science in Statistics at Mindanao State University-Tawi-Tawi College of Technology and Oceanography in the year 2003 and finished Master of Arts in Mathematics at Jose Rizal Memorial State University year 2009. He Became a researcher, a data analyst, and engaged to several projects linked to the university as data processor.
Prepared by:ednielmaratas@gmail.com or you can visit the facebook pageStatisticss For Funfor more details about statistics.
The purpose of this book is to acquaint the reader with the increasing number of applications of statistics in engineering and the social sciences. It can be used as a textbook for a first course in statistical methods in Universities and Polytechnics. The book can also be used by decision-makers and researchers to either gain a basic understanding or to extend their knowledge of some of the most commonly used statistical methods. The book contains ten Chapters. Chapter 1 deals with the overview of statistics. In Chapter 2, we discuss how to describe data, using graphical and summary statistics. Chapter 3 covers probability while Chapters 4 and 5 cover probability distributions. Chapters 6, 7, 8 and 9 present basic tools of statistical inference; point estimation, interval estimation, hypothesis testing and analysis of variance. Chapter 10 presents linear regression and correlation. Our presentation is distinctly applications-oriented.
A prominent feature of the book is the inclusion of many examples. Each example is carefully selected to illustrate the application of a particular statistical technique and or interpretation of results. Another feature is that each chapter has an extensive collection of exercises. Many of these exercises are from published sources, including past examination questions from King Saud University (Saudi Arabia) and Methodist University College Ghana. Answers to all the exercises are given at the end of the book.
Ed Neil O. Maratas an instructor of Jose Rizal Memorial State University, Dapitan Campus, Philippines as regular status. He earned his Bachelor of Science in Statistics at Mindanao State University-Tawi-Tawi College of Technology and Oceanography in the year 2003 and finished Master of Arts in Mathematics at Jose Rizal Memorial State University year 2009. He Became a researcher, a data analyst, and engaged to several projects linked to the university as data processor.
Prepared by:ednielmaratas@gmail.com or you can visit the facebook pageStatisticss For Funfor more details about statistics.
Most guides to R, whether books or online, focus on R functions and procedures. But now, thanks to Statistical Analysis with R For Dummies, you have access to a trusted, easy-to-follow guide that focuses on the foundational statistical concepts that R addresses—as well as step-by-step guidance that shows you exactly how to implement them using R programming.
People are becoming more aware of R every day as major institutions are adopting it as a standard. Part of its appeal is that it's a free tool that's taking the place of costly statistical software packages that sometimes take an inordinate amount of time to learn. Plus, R enables a user to carry out complex statistical analyses by simply entering a few commands, making sophisticated analyses available and understandable to a wide audience. Statistical Analysis with R For Dummies enables you to perform these analyses and to fully understand their implications and results.
• Gets you up to speed on the #1 analytics/data science software tool
• Demonstrates how to easily find, download, and use cutting-edge community-reviewed methods in statistics and predictive modeling
• Shows you how R offers intel from leading researchers in data science, free of charge
• Provides information on using R Studio to work with R
Get ready to use R to crunch and analyze your data—the fast and easy way!
Ed Neil O. Maratas an instructor of Jose Rizal Memorial State University, Dapitan Campus, Philippines as regular status. He earned his Bachelor of Science in Statistics at Mindanao State University-Tawi-Tawi College of Technology and Oceanography in the year 2003 and finished Master of Arts in Mathematics at Jose Rizal Memorial State University year 2009. He Became a researcher, a data analyst, and engaged to several projects linked to the university as data processor.
Prepared by:ednielmaratas@gmail.com or you can visit the facebook pageStatisticss For Funfor more details about statistics.
IBM® SPSS® Forecasting enables analysts to predict trends and develop forecasts quickly and easily -- without being an expert statistician.
Reliable forecasts can have a major impact on your organization’s ability to develop and implement successful strategies. Unlike spreadsheet programs, IBM SPSS Forecasting has the advanced statistical techniques needed to work with time-series data regardless of your level of expertise.
Analyze historical data and predict trends faster, and deliver information in ways that your organization’s decision-makers can understand and use
Automatically determine the best-fitting ARIMA or exponential smoothing model to analyze your historic data
Model hundreds of different time series at once, rather than having to run the procedure for one variable at a time
Save models to a central file so that forecasts can be updated when data changes, without having to re-set parameters or re-estimate models
Write scripts so that models can be updated with new data automatically
Ed Neil O. Maratas an instructor of Jose Rizal Memorial State University, Dapitan Campus, Philippines as regular status. He earned his Bachelor of Science in Statistics at Mindanao State University-Tawi-Tawi College of Technology and Oceanography in the year 2003 and finished Master of Arts in Mathematics at Jose Rizal Memorial State University year 2009. He Became a researcher, a data analyst, and engaged to several projects linked to the university as data processor.
Prepared by:Ed Neil or you can visit the facebook pageStatisticss For Funfor